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Expected click-through rate

One of the three parts of Quality Score: how likely the ad is to be clicked when shown for the keyword, compared with other advertisers.

By the Optizads team

On this page
  1. Why it matters
  2. Where to find it in Google Ads
  3. An example
  4. Common mistakes
  5. Checks that look at it
  6. Related terms

Why it matters

It is Google's prediction, not your actual CTR. It compares how likely your ad is to be clicked with other advertisers on the same keyword, and feeds Quality Score and Ad Rank.

A below average grade usually means the ad does not speak to what people searched, so improving it often lifts results as well as the grade.

Where to find it in Google Ads

  1. Open Keywords and add the Exp. CTR column.
  2. Read the grade: below average, average or above average.
  3. Compare it with the keyword's actual CTR and its ads.
  4. Start with the keywords that spend the most.

An example

The keyword cheap flights to Rome has a below average expected CTR. Its ads talk about the airline in general. A headline with Rome and a price lifts the grade to average within weeks.

Common mistakes

  • Confusing expected CTR with the CTR column.
  • Trying to improve it with clickbait that does not match the landing page.
  • Ignoring it on keywords that spend most of the budget.

Checks that look at it

Questions, answered.

Anything else? Ask Oppy in the product, or write to the team.

How is expected CTR calculated?

Google estimates it from past performance of your ads on that keyword and similar searches, assuming the ad shows in a comparable position.

How do I improve expected CTR?

Put the keyword or its meaning in the headlines, make the offer clear, add assets, and keep each ad group focused on one meaning.

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